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Markets start to Wake Up to Reality; What’s Next after this Past Week’s Epiphany?

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August 4, 2024

Greetings, Michael,

As if someone flipped a switch, we saw in a less than 48 hour period this past week one of the most abrupt changes in market sentiment and attitudes toward the future landscape as anything I ever remember witnessing.

A sudden drop in risk asset prices, of course, comes along every now and then but doesn’t necessarily tell us anything that different about the way forward. The underlying economic backdrop may stay the same (and usually does.)

This time feels different. A fair bit of s**t appears finally ready to hit the fan more so, as evidenced by markets being hit upside the head by multiple bricks this week: and as the consensus outlook suddenly lurched from a muddle-through existence for the economy–a “soft landing”–all the way to “OMG, How bad is the recession going to be, since the Fed is AGAIN behind the curve?”

As promised last weekend, I want to share with you two very meaty interviews I gave in the aftermath of Wednesday’s Fed meeting and the ensuing rapid-fire series of mostly weak/worrisome economic and market news.

They were, respectively, my visits with Shad Marquitz of the K.E. Report and that with Mike Fox of The Prospector News, respectively, as you see above (Click on the thumbnail of each for the recordings.)


Notwithstanding the possibility of the deeply oversold and borderline panic-stricken markets of week’s end to bounce somewhat–especially, as I point out in the latter of the above, if one or more Fed heads do come out sooner rather than later teasing a 50 basis point rate cut in September–I do believe that the seismic shift in investors’ outlook changes up for some time how we will need to approach things.

I’ll be addressing that further with Members separately soon after this missive, in part via the next new issue (which I’m working on the balance of the day today and then some) and/or separate advisories.

That will include a bit deeper dive into a couple key parts of this whole changing equation regarding global liquidity and “The Flation Debate” represented by what is transpiring in Japan and China.

Have a great rest of your weekend–and especially for our Canadian friends, whose “weekend” continues tomorrow!

All the best,

Chris Temple

Editor/Publisher

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